Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 7.982173 8.988924 10.035380 11.201157 12.460409 13.776545 15.253004
2024-10-27 6.059473 7.431165 8.940351 10.711073 12.718650 14.911420 17.474621
2024-11-03 5.234151 6.829307 8.656777 10.878522 13.479586 16.402184 19.907512
2024-11-10 4.627479 6.374773 8.447547 11.043737 14.163976 17.750241 22.139247
2024-11-17 4.003276 5.816694 8.041562 10.907567 14.436383 18.576183 23.734432
2024-11-24 3.565546 5.439927 7.810567 10.940907 14.876656 19.575011 25.518083
2024-12-01 3.165779 5.068609 7.547521 10.898984 15.196073 20.408899 27.093853
2024-12-08 2.834690 4.755373 7.329244 10.886750 15.530918 21.247556 28.669426
2024-12-15 2.760642 4.791580 7.569215 11.468896 16.624280 23.034513 31.427401
2024-12-22 2.499437 4.532750 7.386723 11.472919 16.959724 23.866857 33.003533
2024-12-29 2.433908 4.556449 7.591558 11.997640 17.978613 25.572355 35.688115
2025-01-05 2.315421 4.487744 7.657122 12.326580 18.738264 26.951996 37.974054
2025-01-12 2.036755 4.149131 7.320067 12.088949 18.741427 27.368143 39.059576
2025-01-19 1.716861 3.712075 6.809223 11.578961 18.353033 27.258365 39.460942
2025-01-26 1.599629 3.602156 6.781548 11.755270 18.902050 28.380540 41.460222
2025-02-02 1.492653 3.499449 6.756734 11.929913 19.446645 29.499349 43.463602
2025-02-09 1.327303 3.275359 6.526068 11.786019 19.533510 29.999961 44.655144
2025-02-16 1.214015 3.135323 6.420092 11.821252 19.869382 30.835004 46.291925
2025-02-23 1.096293 2.974002 6.268228 11.776950 20.084474 31.503109 47.708733
2025-03-02 0.994998 2.833760 6.141908 11.764021 20.339638 32.224337 49.199364
2025-03-09 1.005700 2.923933 6.411714 12.378986 21.523865 34.240350 52.450751
2025-03-16 0.917832 2.798154 6.300258 12.383235 21.803706 35.002194 54.012180
2025-03-23 0.919661 2.865517 6.529533 12.937120 22.906868 36.921598 57.158814